2nd November 2020, 7:34 PM
It's crazy that it is almost election day already, because of COVID so many of the normal things that would happen in an election year, well, didn't -- the rallies, the in-person conventions, volunteers and candidates knocking on doors, etc, etc. And worrying about COVID not only remains an everyday thing, but is worse now than it has been in months due to the second wave hitting us now. So in some respects it feels like this year has flown by, but in others it's like, wait, it's almost election day? But where did election season go, it hasn't even started yet! But due to COVID all that stuff had ot be cancelled, sadly, and a lot of people are dead. Sad stuff.
But yeah, it's almost election day even if most of the festivities of an election year were cancelled and one of the candidates is a would-be-fascist, and we, the Democrats, are highly likely to win. Victory is of course not certain, but is very dramatically more likely than it was in 2016, Biden is polling way above Hillary and so are other Democrats. For instance 538 gave Trump 30% odds in 2016, but has him at about 10% now. That is still nervewrackingly high, but the polling averages are clear that we have a big lead and a 2016 level of polling error in his favor won't come even close to saving him. The massive early vote is hopefully promising for us as well. Of course I am very worried, but this should be much more 2018 (but with Senate wins instead of losses because of the map) than 2016.
But yeah, it's almost election day even if most of the festivities of an election year were cancelled and one of the candidates is a would-be-fascist, and we, the Democrats, are highly likely to win. Victory is of course not certain, but is very dramatically more likely than it was in 2016, Biden is polling way above Hillary and so are other Democrats. For instance 538 gave Trump 30% odds in 2016, but has him at about 10% now. That is still nervewrackingly high, but the polling averages are clear that we have a big lead and a 2016 level of polling error in his favor won't come even close to saving him. The massive early vote is hopefully promising for us as well. Of course I am very worried, but this should be much more 2018 (but with Senate wins instead of losses because of the map) than 2016.