5th October 2019, 4:29 PM
Fivethirtyeight is generally pretty reliable with their numbers, but I'm rather disappointed that Nate Silver's biases are showing when it comes to donations and whether they matter. A few months ago, "donations are the single biggest predictor of electoral success", but then Bernie's donation totals came out, and now they don't matter, polls baby!
"On two occasions, I have been asked [by members of Parliament], 'Pray, Mr. Babbage, if you put into the machine wrong figures, will the right answers come out?' I am not able to rightly apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such a question." ~ Charles Babbage (1791-1871)