11th April 2017, 8:40 PM
(This post was last modified: 13th April 2017, 12:41 PM by A Black Falcon.)
So, the Democrat lost in the House special election in Kansas... but he lost by only six points, while the Republican who previously held the seat had won by at least 30 points every time he'd run, including last year when he won by 31.5. That's a change from PVI R+15 to PVI R+3 or 4, a massive improvement to say the least! (PVI measures how much one party would need to go down and the other go up in order for the other side to win, not just the size of the margin). It is disappointing to lose of course; I hoped we'd win this seat, but because Kansas almost never elects Democrats after all I expected to lose by more than this. If this keeps up this is a good sign -- at least a hundred house seats, including two others in Kansas, would flip if everywhere had a D+12 PVI change like this one did. I am certainly not saying that that will happen, far from it, but the nation clearly has noticed how terrible this administration is, and this election showed that. It's just too bad the Dem didn't win... ah well.