13th November 2024, 10:43 AM
(This post was last modified: 13th November 2024, 10:46 AM by A Black Falcon.)
I agree with what you say about why Trump won, but on the Democratic Party I think you exaggerate. Trump won because of the inflation-fueled anti-incumbent wave that's swept the whole world this year, but down-ballot things were much less bad. In 2016, Republicans won every single US Senate seat in a state that Trump won. This year, Democrats held four Senate seats in Trump states -- Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, and Arizona. The resulting 53R-47D Senate will do bad things but it's a much less bad situation than it would have been without the party's reasonably decent success in down-ballot races.
In the US House things are similar, and the Dems look likely to actually pick UP a seat versus the last Congress! The current House is 222R-213D, and right now Republicans are leading in 222 seats again, but Democrats are looking good to flip at least one of those R-leading seats, or maybe more. If it goes to 221R as looks likely that would apparently be the smallest margin in a Presidential year ever since Alaska and Hawaii were added as states. That's pretty good for a losing campaign. I don't think the Democratic Party has totally failed or is a disaster, not with pretty decent House results like this considering the R+2 national environment...
Oh, in 2016 the Republicans got 241 House seats to only 194 for the Dems. Democrats gained 6 seats that election (they'd been at 188 in '14) but still were far behind.
In the US House things are similar, and the Dems look likely to actually pick UP a seat versus the last Congress! The current House is 222R-213D, and right now Republicans are leading in 222 seats again, but Democrats are looking good to flip at least one of those R-leading seats, or maybe more. If it goes to 221R as looks likely that would apparently be the smallest margin in a Presidential year ever since Alaska and Hawaii were added as states. That's pretty good for a losing campaign. I don't think the Democratic Party has totally failed or is a disaster, not with pretty decent House results like this considering the R+2 national environment...
Oh, in 2016 the Republicans got 241 House seats to only 194 for the Dems. Democrats gained 6 seats that election (they'd been at 188 in '14) but still were far behind.